Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.954251e-05 2.377404e-05 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054
2025-06-29 1.307964e-05 1.812591e-05 0.000024 0.000032 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064
2025-07-06 8.885589e-06 1.399153e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000041 0.000055 0.000072
2025-07-13 6.545958e-06 1.162150e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081
2025-07-20 4.934419e-06 9.864180e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000044 0.000063 0.000090
2025-07-27 3.958595e-06 8.828980e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000069 0.000101
2025-08-03 3.621624e-06 8.764685e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000051 0.000079 0.000117
2025-08-10 2.857424e-06 7.753689e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000053 0.000084 0.000127
2025-08-17 1.947595e-06 6.192438e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000051 0.000084 0.000130
2025-08-24 1.344944e-06 5.055549e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000051 0.000085 0.000135
2025-08-31 1.019493e-06 4.443909e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000052 0.000088 0.000143
2025-09-07 7.272575e-07 3.786367e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000052 0.000091 0.000150
2025-09-14 4.106302e-07 2.927011e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000052 0.000093 0.000158
2025-09-21 1.954955e-07 2.148046e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000051 0.000095 0.000165
2025-09-28 7.461391e-08 1.509166e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000050 0.000096 0.000171
2025-10-05 2.957457e-08 1.164056e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000050 0.000100 0.000182
2025-10-12 9.611701e-09 9.074535e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000051 0.000105 0.000194
2025-10-19 3.107420e-09 7.673915e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000111 0.000209
2025-10-26 2.053716e-09 7.851474e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000059 0.000124 0.000233
2025-11-02 2.149332e-10 6.314637e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000129 0.000247
2025-11-09 NaN 4.029085e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000059 0.000129 0.000251
2025-11-16 NaN 2.603418e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000058 0.000130 0.000257
2025-11-23 NaN 1.940924e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000059 0.000134 0.000269